Reliable-Fallingout
0x68158d89d0c0d604b784afb1e235d8f77613e527
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$21.04
Total PnL
$-82.15
Realised
$4.99
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
35 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.62
$1.07
- YES
Will Maryville University win NACL 2026 Spring?
30 shares @ 23.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$4.65
$-2.25
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?
23 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.14
$-0.11
- YES
Will Palermo achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?
30 shares @ 30.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.72
$-7.27
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.60
$-8.40
- YES
Will Martha Guerrero advance from the CA-06 primary election?
25 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.50
$-0.75
- YES
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
25 shares @ 21.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.44
$-3.81
- YES
Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $2.0B?
19 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.23
$0.09
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.80
$-0.30
- YES
Ben Pasternak jailed?
3 shares @ 21.0¢·now 13.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.34
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $24.5B?$2.80May 17, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?$0.45May 17, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$9.50May 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palermo achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?$6.43May 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palermo achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?$2.57May 17, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?$0.65May 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?$0.27May 17, 04:43 UTC
- REWARD$1.78May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$10.22May 16, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$0.53May 16, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.41May 16, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $2.0B?$1.14May 16, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.69May 16, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?$2.80May 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $24.5B?$2.40May 16, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$8.75May 16, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$8.75May 16, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$0.47May 16, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UD Las Palmas achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?$7.00May 16, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UD Las Palmas achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?$6.25May 16, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".