Optimistic-Place
0x6833adf871437da9aa48f8ae1c2af95016712011
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$311.21
Total PnL
$-739.16
Realised
$-2.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
739 shares @ 17.6¢·now 18.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$134.55
$4.56
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
238 shares @ 21.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$41.67
$-8.33
- NO
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
211 shares @ 23.7¢·now 18.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$37.96
$-12.04
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?
52 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$24.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.50
$-30.50
- YES
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$16.19
$-3.81
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
92 shares @ 32.7¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.07
$-13.93
- YES
Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?
47 shares @ 21.1¢·now 15.6¢·exp Mar 1, 2027$7.39
$-2.61
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.37
$-3.63
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
49 shares @ 20.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.65
$-4.35
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$25.39May 17, 20:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?$25.64May 16, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$91.97May 16, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?$40.80May 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?$20.45May 16, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?$20.46May 16, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?$10.18May 16, 11:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?$62.50May 15, 23:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?$120.15May 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$112.64May 13, 20:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.47May 12, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?$51.53May 12, 01:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?$125.00May 11, 23:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $31.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 03:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".