Distorted-Focus
0x6858873b14ddf5a4060a1526d6cdf8bb853d7d47
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$500.90
Total PnL
$-2.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
350 shares @ 50.0¢·now 86.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$301.35
$126.35
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
100 shares @ 37.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$58.50
$21.50
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
350 shares @ 50.0¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$48.65
$-126.35
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 87.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$33.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 24.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$24.45
$7.45
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.25
$0.45
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
10 shares @ 76.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.13
$1.53
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
10 shares @ 70.8¢·now 90.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.07
$1.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Robert Wells Jr. be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.93May 18, 10:58 UTC
- REWARD$0.93May 18, 10:58 UTC
- REWARD$0.93May 18, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$34.80May 18, 07:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.33May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$7.60May 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$7.08May 16, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$2.74May 16, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 16, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$1.26May 16, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicole Lee Ethington be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4.59May 16, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 16, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$10.00May 16, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$10.00May 16, 06:49 UTC
- SPLITWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$300.00May 16, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLPistons vs. Cavaliers$104.00May 16, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLPistons vs. Cavaliers$200.00May 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $20.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 02:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".