Smoggy-Prose
0x685e2db0744d96179c0b4dd6ebd076772f1dda4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$211.55
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$0.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
100 shares @ 79.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$74.51
$-4.50
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
100 shares @ 68.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$70.49
$2.50
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
300 shares @ 45.9¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$64.50
$-73.14
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
10 shares @ 56.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$-3.55
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
2100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- PANTOJA
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
2000 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
1532 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
300 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-195.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$20.80May 20, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$11.07May 20, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$20.80May 20, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$51.33May 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?$80.40May 20, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$140.62May 20, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$79.00May 20, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$102.00May 20, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$18.89May 20, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?$68.38May 20, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$18.81May 20, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$39.68May 20, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$40.00May 20, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$67.99May 20, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$295.20Apr 19, 08:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Mar 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$198.00Mar 29, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$195.00Mar 29, 09:51 UTC
- MERGEWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.6KMar 29, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$10.00Mar 29, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $85.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 00:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".