Incredible-Receptor
0x686880eea810fa9141be46a1acec9eee41755198
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-342.31
Realised
$53.83
Win rate
47%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 20?
1780 shares @ 92.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.8K
$116.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 20?
87 shares @ 78.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 20, 2026$86.81
$18.09
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
1000 shares @ 4.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.50
$-20.50
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.70
$0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or higher on May 20?
584 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.29
$-2.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?
549 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.27
$-83.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on May 20?
10 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.15
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 20?$2.51May 20, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 20?$1.22May 20, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 20?$0.84May 20, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or higher on May 20?$0.40May 20, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 20?$0.43May 20, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 20?$3.60May 20, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 20?$0.40May 20, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 20?$2.04May 20, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 20?$3.95May 20, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$149.88May 20, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$5.16May 20, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$95.23May 20, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$5.00May 20, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$63.51May 20, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$20.00May 20, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 20?$0.09May 20, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 20?$0.49May 20, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 20?$10.00May 20, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 20?$2.40May 20, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 20?$1.41May 20, 05:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 05:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".