Likely-Disdain
0x687ea0a8192622f14602ff09a9e07d2cf21e540e
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$6.3K
Total PnL
$-215.06
Realised
$15.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
42741 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.2K
$-213.71
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
100 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.50
$3.50
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
900 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.75
$1.35
- YES
Will "GOAT" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
304 shares @ 8.6¢·now 2.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$6.08
$-20.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$115.87May 21, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$312.75May 21, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$153.25May 21, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$1.5KMay 21, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$419.00May 21, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$422.45May 21, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$20.64May 21, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$6.86May 20, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$156.38May 20, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$10.40May 20, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$0.22May 20, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$0.40May 20, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$0.03May 20, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$0.03May 20, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$0.40May 20, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$0.80May 20, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$0.12May 20, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$0.20May 20, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$0.03May 20, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $63.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".