Impish-Apprehension
0x68d399617573841413513ba7eec8e793b32582e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$11.3K
Total PnL
$428.23
Realised
$-25.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
4000 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$-18.97
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
2400 shares @ 87.7¢·now 95.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.3K
$178.43
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
1800 shares @ 81.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$247.91
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1500 shares @ 90.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.4K
$43.50
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
900 shares @ 89.7¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$796.48
$-10.50
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
700 shares @ 86.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$612.50
$4.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?
670 shares @ 83.7¢·now 88.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$595.44
$34.56
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
550 shares @ 89.3¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$511.49
$20.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?
400 shares @ 68.8¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$321.67
$46.85
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
205 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$202.44
$5.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit France in 2026?$88.00May 15, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$5.0KMay 14, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.9KMay 13, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$99.99May 13, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$300.01May 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$31.16May 12, 05:29 UTC
- REWARD$1.76May 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$170.00May 11, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$344.00May 11, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$133.85May 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$87.00May 11, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$264.00May 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$180.00May 11, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$6.96May 11, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$127.60May 11, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$352.00May 11, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$140.00May 10, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$126.79May 10, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$15.83May 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$9.37May 10, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $110.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 16:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 07:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".