Shameful-Chaos
0x68db2524f6e058377d791d4e3147bf5a94e5e12b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-36.6K
Realised
$-5.2K
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4064 shares @ 15.4¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$957.07
$330.73
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2550 shares @ 47.5¢·now 29.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$761.17
$-450.32
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
3712 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$612.52
$-11.30
- NO
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
1700 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$204.00
$34.00
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
787 shares @ 13.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$141.62
$39.34
- YES
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?
2066 shares @ 4.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$106.42
$6.63
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1881 shares @ 18.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.07
$-292.03
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
53 shares @ 54.2¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.82
$-0.89
- YES
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
38335 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
26600 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.8K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$4.82May 18, 02:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.57May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.64May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.75May 17, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$7.50May 17, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$14.33May 17, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.71May 17, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$40.91May 17, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$2.81May 17, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$18.75May 17, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$17.63May 17, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$87.09May 17, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$63.00May 17, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.88May 17, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.88May 17, 02:20 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.32May 17, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$3.87May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$28.12May 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.98May 16, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$2.50May 16, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $43.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".