Orange-Mood
0x6932b776d89010ebe782f9395fdebcb38f04e4a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-15.3K
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
4208 shares @ 14.2¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$799.54
$202.53
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
1906 shares @ 18.4¢·now 19.8¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$376.34
$26.20
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
11924 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?
11017 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-4.3K
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Thunder
10000 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2025$0.00
$-277.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?
9999 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.5K
- YES
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?
9202 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- BODØ/GLIMT
UEFA Europa League: Tottenham vs. Bodø/Glimt (To Advance)
5125 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-594.55
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
5000 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.6K
- YES
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
4326 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-320.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$36.62May 1, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves$3.7KMay 1, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Hawks$3.0KMay 1, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Hawks$1.8KApr 30, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$361.58Apr 30, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$580.87Apr 30, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?$0.00May 9, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Timberwolves$1.0KMay 9, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Timberwolves$309.16May 9, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA Europa League: Tottenham vs. Bodø/Glimt (To Advance)$401.58May 8, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA Europa League: Tottenham vs. Bodø/Glimt (To Advance)$5.92May 8, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA Europa League: Tottenham vs. Bodø/Glimt (To Advance)$57.79May 8, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA Europa League: Tottenham vs. Bodø/Glimt (To Advance)$4.41May 8, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA Europa League: Tottenham vs. Bodø/Glimt (To Advance)$123.54May 8, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA Europa League: Tottenham vs. Bodø/Glimt (To Advance)$1.31May 8, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Thunder$277.00May 8, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?$1.1KMay 7, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?$1.6KMay 7, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?$594.48May 7, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?$2.2KMay 7, 21:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $459.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 23:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".