Watchful-Blight
0x6a404f060ab084322c2a209fb3d4eb328055599e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$18.45
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$110.21
Win rate
36%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?
230 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$2.64
$-0.66
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
300 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.95
$-4.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
659 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.65
$-1.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
348 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.57
$-3.43
- YES
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
244 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.46
$0.46
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
555 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.39
$-15.61
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
238 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.31
$-1.69
- YES
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)$16.67May 24, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)$57.69May 24, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 24, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.00May 24, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.00May 24, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.00May 24, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 0.5$2.06May 24, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: US Cremonese (-2.5)$2.06May 24, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: US Cremonese (-1.5)$2.06May 24, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 5.5$1.03May 24, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 0.5$2.06May 24, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)$1.03May 24, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)$2.06May 24, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYHellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 5.5$2.06May 24, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYHellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 0.5$2.06May 24, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hellas Verona FC (-2.5)$2.06May 24, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)$2.06May 24, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 5.5$2.06May 24, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5$2.06May 24, 14:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".