Waterlogged-Authorization
0x6a869b0550dc6343fcf11c4b4ac3c31485d9413d
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$139.86
Total PnL
$-18.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 26?
140 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 26, 2026$139.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 6?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 14?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 2?
557 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 9?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 21?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 20?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on November 18?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
100 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
50 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 26?$140.01May 25, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$140.14May 22, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$140.01May 21, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?$140.14May 11, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?$140.01May 10, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$140.28May 10, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$140.01May 8, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$140.14May 8, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$140.01May 4, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$140.14May 4, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$140.01May 1, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?$56.05May 1, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$82.16May 1, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$82.00Apr 27, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?$56.00Apr 27, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$13.01Apr 27, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 20?$125.12Apr 27, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 20?$125.00Apr 20, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$13.00Apr 20, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 19?$1.01Apr 20, 13:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $98.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 06:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".