0x6b148682c374c4449cfb572e9d41a2c65f053e42
0x6b148682c374c4449cfb572e9d41a2c65f053e42
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$796.07
Total PnL
$-493.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
550 shares @ 72.1¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$363.00
$-33.50
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
653 shares @ 38.3¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$297.30
$47.30
- YES
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
2003 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.07
$-21.93
- YES
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
670 shares @ 4.7¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$41.20
$9.46
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
575 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.03
$-8.96
- YES
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
2185 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.46
$-7.65
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
7692 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?
6276 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-41.64
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
2381 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$161.84May 17, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?$0.77May 13, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$102.43May 12, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$52.28May 12, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$146.90May 12, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$102.68May 11, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$41.64May 11, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$100.00May 11, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?$30.21May 10, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$400.93May 10, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? $89.51May 10, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$129.85May 9, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? $187.38May 9, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$13.63May 6, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?$32.95Apr 30, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? $246.98Apr 30, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$19.98Apr 30, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$20.00Apr 30, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$51.76Apr 29, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$103.44Apr 29, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $125.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".