Unimportant-Observation
0x6b343e1d2b5288b29d7bbab5d2832b50657b4c88
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$419.08
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$85.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
320 shares @ 12.6¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$200.00
$159.80
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
200 shares @ 46.2¢·now 56.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.20
$19.80
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
325 shares @ 21.1¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$69.87
$1.28
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
400 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
11 shares @ 59.1¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.01
$0.51
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
4103 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-922.95
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?
3085 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-219.37
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
1500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
717 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$0.00
$-53.79
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
463 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-238.76
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$30.92May 16, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$52.00May 16, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$10.06May 16, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.72May 16, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$80.62May 16, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.50Apr 11, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$2.16Mar 21, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$0.09Mar 21, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$0.09Mar 21, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$0.87Mar 21, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$0.10Mar 21, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$0.10Mar 21, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$0.17Mar 20, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$0.09Mar 20, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$0.09Mar 20, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$0.87Mar 20, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$0.87Mar 20, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$0.17Mar 20, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$0.09Mar 20, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$0.09Mar 20, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $10.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 23:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".