Negative-Shell
0x6b413d1ca5092f379aeff92a0ed3d499c931c74a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$538.22
Total PnL
$-919.25
Realised
$-838.43
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
102 shares @ 98.4¢·now 97.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$98.53
$-1.47
- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
104 shares @ 84.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$86.91
$-1.41
- NO
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
130 shares @ 80.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.45
$-17.55
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
72 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$71.20
$1.20
- NO
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
77 shares @ 82.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.97
$3.07
- NO
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
41 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.20
$-0.62
- NO
Will s1mple retire by June 30?
11 shares @ 90.5¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.97
$-0.03
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
800 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$95.00May 18, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.27May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.27May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.48May 16, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.48May 16, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.98May 16, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$0.62May 16, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$99.37May 15, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?$132.86May 15, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$48.86May 15, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $52.30May 15, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$20.47May 15, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$77.01May 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$21.12May 14, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$86.00May 14, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$152.50May 14, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$64.08May 14, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.92May 13, 16:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$450.73May 12, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $61.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 19:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".