Complete-Fly
0x6bab41a0dc40d6dd4c1a915b8c01969479fd1292
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$259.6K
Total PnL
$23.4K
Realised
$18.4K
Win rate
72%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
50582 shares @ 72.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.3K
$11.7K
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
44444 shares @ 91.3¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.3K
$677.81
- YES
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
30085 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.1K
$2.0K
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
31948 shares @ 43.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.0K
$13.0K
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
27467 shares @ 70.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.7K
$6.5K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
36704 shares @ 62.5¢·now 69.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$25.4K
$2.4K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
33333 shares @ 71.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.2K
$-614.39
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
20477 shares @ 76.4¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$14.4K
$-1.2K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
6181 shares @ 76.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.2K
$488.91
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
54417 shares @ 26.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.1K
$-10.5K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?$145.0KMay 18, 02:24 UTC
- CONVERSIONLowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?$145.0KMay 18, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$19.9KMay 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$999.00May 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$42.1KMay 18, 02:10 UTC
- SPLITWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$80.0KMay 18, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?$85.0KMay 18, 02:10 UTC
- CONVERSIONLowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?$85.0KMay 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$84.9KMay 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$999.00May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$999.00May 18, 02:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$8.65May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$7.95May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$222.22May 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$697.94May 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$5.6KMay 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$12.5KMay 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$74.2KMay 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2.2KMay 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$87.55May 17, 15:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $8.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 18:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".