Careless-Sample
0x6bea2eb252ddaebce5fa08433a7eb2508280bf97
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$73.67
Total PnL
$-12.56
Realised
$4.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
762 shares @ 7.8¢·now 6.3¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$47.61
$-12.14
- NO
Will Antonio Rüdiger be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
47 shares @ 5.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$20.68
$18.33
- YES
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.73
$2.75
- NO
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
5 shares @ 43.5¢·now 10.8¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.54
$-1.64
- NO
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
10 shares @ 32.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$-3.10
- YES
Will RB Leipzig place 2nd for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?
50 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.63
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
33 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- NO
Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
17 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.33
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
17 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.19
- FC BAYERN MÜNCHEN
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
15 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$3.77May 17, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)$5.00May 16, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?$5.00May 16, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?$5.99May 16, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill VfL Wolfsburg place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?$7.57May 16, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-16?$2.50May 14, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?$2.64May 14, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?$2.14May 14, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?$2.89May 14, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?$3.78May 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?$2.59May 14, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)$2.64May 14, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 14, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Rüdiger be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$2.35May 11, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?$5.00May 11, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?$7.43May 10, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?$0.32May 10, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?$1.16May 10, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?$2.00May 10, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig place 2nd for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?$0.65May 8, 11:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 10:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 09:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".