Distant-Occasion
0x6bf5098dc46a67d20227bf9f4d349c908acf606b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$39.42
Total PnL
$-30.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?
20 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$17.50
$-0.30
- YES
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?
20 shares @ 79.6¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.40
$-5.52
- YES
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.70
$-14.90
- YES
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
2 shares @ 59.6¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Nikema Williams be the Democratic Nominee for GA-05?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Austin Magee be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- THUNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 96.6¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Wuthering Heights get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 96.7¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 92.3¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$17.80May 18, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$1.02May 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikema Williams be the Democratic Nominee for GA-05?$1.00May 18, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$1.01May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Randy Zurcher be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?$1.01May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win fewer than 50 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$1.01May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$1.02May 18, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?$1.00May 18, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.59May 18, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?$1.61May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$0.38May 17, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$38.86May 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 17, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$1.01May 17, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 17, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 17, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 17, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.05May 17, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$1.06May 17, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$1.06May 17, 11:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $135.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".