0x6c104a31c105ab2573a42e0f178f961e4496df5c
0x6c104a31c105ab2573a42e0f178f961e4496df5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
162
Open notional
$124.7K
Total PnL
$2.6K
Realised
$-361.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 162- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
36773 shares @ 85.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.8K
$333.53
- YES
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17818 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$15.8K
$97.77
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9600 shares @ 90.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$9.2K
$465.65
- NO
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?
5822 shares @ 94.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$5.7K
$243.12
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
6537 shares @ 83.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.5K
$50.14
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
8082 shares @ 70.2¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.4K
$-300.29
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
6306 shares @ 79.6¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.0K
$-67.06
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
7532 shares @ 37.6¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.4K
$520.10
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
3277 shares @ 88.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.1K
$201.77
- NO
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?
2456 shares @ 91.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$2.3K
$30.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$300.92May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$2.05May 18, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$1.51May 18, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$7.20May 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$21.60May 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$115.20May 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be at least 2.50T?$85.80May 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be at least 2.50T?$87.00May 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$3.28May 18, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$4.93May 18, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$4.95May 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$3.04May 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$4.93May 18, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$5.43May 18, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$8.31May 18, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$158.00May 18, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$11.08May 18, 01:26 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.02May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$13.90May 18, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$6.67May 18, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $118.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 16:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".