Guilty-Matter
0x6c1cda5055bd5e6d6268eef3b223e86f57da5650
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
69
Open notional
$873.68
Total PnL
$-47.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
3765 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$178.86
$10.60
- NO
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-05-07?
37 shares @ 82.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$35.30
$5.30
- YES
Will John Swinney be the next First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections?
30 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 7, 2026$30.29
$0.29
- YAWARA ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs ex-KRÜ Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
23 shares @ 86.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$20.46
$0.46
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?
20 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$20.25
$0.25
- NO
Will MVK Esports qualify for EWC 2026?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 20, 2026$20.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
20 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$20.04
$0.04
- CD LEGANÉS
Spread: SD Huesca (-1.5)
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$20.00
$0.00
- ESTRAL ESPORTS
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$19.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Nickolas Bonds be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?
20 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$19.89
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$10.01May 18, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 1 Winner$10.05May 18, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 18?$9.06May 18, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$10.00May 18, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 18?$4.89May 18, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$7.23May 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5$10.06May 18, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Burnley FC?$10.04May 18, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 3 Winner$10.05May 18, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$7.62May 18, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs$10.02May 18, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: SD Huesca (-1.5)$10.02May 18, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$10.01May 18, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 18?$10.02May 18, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?$10.01May 18, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 18?$10.01May 18, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs ex-KRÜ Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage$10.04May 18, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18?$10.04May 18, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 2 Winner$10.05May 18, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$10.02May 18, 11:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $9.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".