Ragged-Demand
0x6c6b36d8832f8bcdfe86d40418e26b9b4722bded
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$53.19
Total PnL
$-26.27
Realised
$2.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.85
$-1.15
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.98
$-8.02
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
16 shares @ 73.4¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.07
$-2.92
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
88 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.38
$-6.62
- YES
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
11 shares @ 44.4¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.81
$-2.19
- YES
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.10
$-7.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$12.00May 10, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$25.19May 10, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$20.00Apr 18, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?$20.00Mar 20, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$7.54Feb 28, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$10.00Feb 24, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMTrump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?$36.72Feb 15, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?$11.23Feb 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?$10.00Jan 25, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO before 2027?$20.00Jan 7, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.22Jan 6, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?$10.00Jan 6, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.00Jan 6, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?$20.00Dec 24, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$15.00Dec 24, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $13.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".