Unkempt-Parchment
0x6ca0cfe4ed627cb4ebe0193e69de9823a007e59d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-473.08
Realised
$-82.37
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
430 shares @ 90.5¢·now 91.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$391.66
$2.75
- YES
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
844 shares @ 39.9¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$215.22
$-121.88
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
888 shares @ 17.5¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$161.17
$5.44
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
111 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$103.90
$1.78
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
555 shares @ 15.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$92.41
$5.27
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
888 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$74.15
$-1.44
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
555 shares @ 11.2¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$62.99
$0.61
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
200 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
555 shares @ 8.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.23
$2.05
- NO
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
64 shares @ 73.2¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$48.35
$1.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.61May 18, 07:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.39May 17, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.64May 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$7.04May 17, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$4.96May 17, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$2.64May 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$7.84May 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$7.88May 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$7.89May 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$7.61May 17, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$3.94May 17, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?$0.00May 17, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$2.45May 17, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$8.80May 17, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?$15.00May 17, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$102.12May 17, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.10May 17, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$29.55May 17, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$2.41May 17, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $39.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 16:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".