Frozen-Bird
0x6cf833cd47e3cc3c6a5dd993b8ec362ec09f042f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$6.6K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$14.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3812 shares @ 43.4¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.8K
$119.56
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
1450 shares @ 68.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$616.25
$-369.74
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
700 shares @ 62.1¢·now 75.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$529.48
$95.11
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
1842 shares @ 23.7¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$469.75
$32.41
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
700 shares @ 39.7¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$437.49
$159.50
- NO
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
353 shares @ 77.8¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$340.23
$65.33
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
440 shares @ 77.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$327.80
$-13.20
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
380 shares @ 77.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$294.49
$-0.10
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
1170 shares @ 28.3¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$274.90
$-56.13
- YES
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
385 shares @ 66.5¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$273.33
$17.35
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.29May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.29May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$0.00May 16, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 16, 07:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.30May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$0.14May 15, 07:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.30May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$7.62May 14, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$0.38May 14, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?$20.00May 14, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$200.00May 14, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.30May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$0.11May 13, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.21May 13, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$0.14May 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$0.11May 13, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$0.11May 13, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$8.39May 13, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$0.11May 13, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$0.11May 13, 11:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 11:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".