Partial-Muskrat
0x6d2bd55a04e94ab033620dced54c903037cbfd2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$487.45
Total PnL
$167.46
Realised
$6.46
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
491 shares @ 26.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$380.52
$252.86
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
231 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.48
$-1.16
- NO
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
4 shares @ 58.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$3.04
$0.72
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.16
$0.14
- NO
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$0.05
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$0.91
$0.01
- YES
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
1 shares @ 14.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.21
$0.07
- YES
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
1 shares @ 6.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$0.09
$0.03
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 19.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.03
$-0.16
- NO
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
66 shares @ 81.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-54.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.00May 8, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00May 8, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMTom Lee mindshare all time high by March 31?$1.00May 8, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$5.00May 8, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$25.00May 8, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?$35.00May 8, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$118.00May 8, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$149.00May 8, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?$165.00May 8, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?$107.01Apr 21, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?$37.70Apr 21, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?$10.80Apr 21, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?$17.67Apr 21, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?$15.01Apr 21, 04:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 31, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 30, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 28, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 27, 00:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $37.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 00:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 08:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".