Chubby-Thirst
0x6e3699336d4aa540b7a41a03b48e52c27a362479
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$461.69
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$13.92
Win rate
75%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- EVEN
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
811 shares @ 50.4¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$405.82
$-2.92
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
91 shares @ 85.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$42.77
$-34.58
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
13 shares @ 84.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.00
$1.98
- YES
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
57 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.09
$-0.48
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.04
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 9 be between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000?
699 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-90.87
- OVER
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
601 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-480.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Sarah" or "Beckstrom" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
571 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-308.12
- YES
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?
537 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-75.18
- NO
Will Trump say "Fat" this week? (January 18)
533 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-287.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$19.69Apr 27, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$0.30Apr 27, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?$408.74Apr 23, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$25.06Apr 21, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026$0.14Apr 15, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?$0.19Apr 15, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMMid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels$332.00Apr 15, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)$532.00Apr 15, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMCalifornia Golden Bears vs. Virginia Cavaliers$895.00Apr 15, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$100.98Apr 13, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$11.00Apr 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$11.00Apr 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$193.11Apr 12, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$302.75Apr 11, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$260.13Apr 11, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$260.13Apr 10, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$221.37Apr 10, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$311.40Apr 10, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026$485.94Apr 9, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$304.75Apr 9, 11:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $268.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 13:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".