Ignorant-Plan
0x6e881e6e5035cdbb7c2208013af4db2793b2bd30
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$884.18
Total PnL
$-411.82
Realised
$-65.42
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
450 shares @ 38.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$200.47
$27.72
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 16.7¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$182.50
$15.40
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
600 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$99.90
$4.15
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$90.50
$4.50
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
100 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$58.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
100 shares @ 52.4¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$58.50
$6.10
- NO
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
40 shares @ 73.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$35.40
$6.20
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
100 shares @ 34.7¢·now 34.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$34.84
$0.14
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.40
$-1.15
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
80 shares @ 16.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.80
$16.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$222.00May 18, 06:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$32.70May 17, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$17.10May 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$17.10May 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$17.10May 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$84.98May 17, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$90.20May 17, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$70.10May 17, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$20.00May 17, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$22.41May 17, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$18.04May 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$33.07May 17, 11:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.84May 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.25May 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$21.00May 16, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$9.68May 16, 01:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19?$17.48May 15, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $20.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 19:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".