Substantial-Mycoplasma
0x6ea4565ee3b429567d41b57c6f5dcfcd69549cf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$577.63
Total PnL
$-46.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
486 shares @ 50.0¢·now 92.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$451.18
$208.35
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
486 shares @ 50.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.43
$-208.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on May 23?
9 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.39
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 23?
9 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.29
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on May 23?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.29
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 22?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 22?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$7.79
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 22?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$7.69
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 23?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 23, 2026$7.40
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on May 23?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 23, 2026$6.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on May 21?$9.91May 22, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 22?$7.80May 22, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on May 23?$9.40May 22, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 23?$6.60May 22, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 23?$7.40May 22, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on May 23?$7.00May 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on May 22?$6.00May 22, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on May 23?$9.30May 22, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 22?$7.70May 22, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or below on May 23?$6.70May 22, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 22?$8.00May 22, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 23?$9.30May 22, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C or higher on May 22?$6.90May 22, 02:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 22, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on May 21?$7.02May 21, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 21?$9.32May 21, 04:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on May 21?$7.00May 20, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on May 21?$9.90May 20, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 21?$9.30May 20, 07:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $7.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 03:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".