Arid-Escalator
0x6f71b848890a88180464d41aa0e83cb3c821b80e
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-178.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 84.2¢·now 87.3¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$436.24
$15.06
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
319 shares @ 81.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$276.34
$14.70
- YES
ECB rate hike in 2026?
275 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$254.38
$1.38
- YES
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
250 shares @ 71.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$183.75
$6.25
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
250 shares @ 53.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$146.25
$13.75
- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 92.6¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$91.74
$-0.82
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
75 shares @ 86.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$58.13
$-6.38
- NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 91.4¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$45.48
$-0.23
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
50 shares @ 72.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.25
$-6.75
- YES
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
35 shares @ 64.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.96
$6.76
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Fulham qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?$16.54May 18, 01:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYECB rate hike in 2026?$23.00May 17, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Porto win on 2026-05-16?$58.11May 17, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMFC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to Score$427.00May 17, 16:41 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.31May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5$50.00May 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to Score$20.88May 16, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to Score$120.06May 16, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to Score$46.11May 16, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to Score$0.89May 16, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to Score$187.79May 16, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win on 2026-05-16?$51.54May 16, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.94May 16, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$6.54May 16, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$10.03May 16, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$6.46May 16, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$4.04May 16, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$10.29May 16, 04:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $22.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 02:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".