Political-Baobab
0x6f744ffd7ae68ad2a53ca4283414c4a19345a597
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$72.78
Realised
$11.10
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Natural Disaster in 2026?
1800 shares @ 70.8¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$84.06
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.03
$8.02
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
94 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.07
$9.07
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
81 shares @ 74.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.19
$14.19
- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
73 shares @ 82.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.68
$7.68
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
79 shares @ 77.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$58.01
$-2.99
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
51 shares @ 79.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.80
$3.80
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
45 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.14
$1.14
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
74 shares @ 87.7¢·now 35.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.27
$-38.36
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
65 shares @ 66.6¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.24
$-29.76
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMegaquake by June 30?$18.36Apr 17, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaquake by June 30?$4.10Apr 17, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Disaster in 2026?$50.76Apr 2, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$50.76Apr 2, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Disaster in 2026?$1.2KApr 1, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$52.30Apr 1, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$96.11Apr 1, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$19.00Apr 1, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$8.61Apr 1, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$10.00Apr 1, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$10.00Apr 1, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMNATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?$1.05Apr 1, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine peace referendum scheduled by March 31?$5.21Apr 1, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?$6.58Apr 1, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?$10.26Apr 1, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMICE shooter charged by March 31?$10.64Apr 1, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?$10.87Apr 1, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA reach $228 in March?$20.47Apr 1, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?$21.28Apr 1, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in March?$21.28Apr 1, 11:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $157.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 12:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".