Kosher-Stepuncle
0x6f90158e774e9854a81a2f82762aaa2c747548d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$4.31
Total PnL
$-6.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 36.9¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
8 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1.67May 4, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.05May 4, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00Apr 13, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.00Apr 12, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.19Apr 3, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.50Apr 1, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Apr 1, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Mar 31, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$2.00Mar 30, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$2.02Mar 30, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Mar 28, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$1.00Mar 28, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1.00Mar 28, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Mar 28, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.00Mar 28, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Mar 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$1.00Mar 28, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?$1.00Mar 28, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.00Mar 28, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.00Mar 28, 15:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 18:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".