0x6fd7e57c5e84506ddbcfe9ac104f8f7901a4b8d9
0x6fd7e57c5e84506ddbcfe9ac104f8f7901a4b8d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$42.53
Total PnL
$-942.55
Realised
$-0.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
35 shares @ 6.0¢·now 54.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$19.06
$16.96
- NO
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.34
$3.30
- YES
Will Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
22 shares @ 5.8¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$3.15
$1.89
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
23 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.84
$0.57
- YES
Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
66 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.73
$0.73
- YES
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
16 shares @ 6.7¢·now 8.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.40
$0.35
- YES
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
36 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.35
$-0.42
- YES
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-12 House seat?
22 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.26
$0.14
- YES
Will Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
590 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.89
$-0.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$1.11May 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on May 18?$1.17May 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$1.82May 17, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.09May 17, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?$3.49May 14, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$1.84May 13, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?$3.30May 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$1.84May 13, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.86May 13, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$3.13May 12, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$0.00May 12, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 11?$0.00May 11, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?$1.14May 11, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on May 11?$1.26May 11, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 10?$3.07May 11, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 11?$2.57May 10, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 45-49 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.26May 10, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on May 12?$1.05May 10, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?$4.12May 10, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on May 11?$1.10May 10, 14:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 15:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".