Grumpy-Water
0x70698919b04f64c3fa5a3beb47f880cae26638d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$170.57
Total PnL
$-622.15
Realised
$-8.61
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
21 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.91
$1.07
- WOLVES ESPORTS
Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs Wolves Esports (BO1) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Play-In
26 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$12.82
$-0.26
- YES
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
82 shares @ 27.9¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$11.95
$-11.02
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
25 shares @ 44.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$11.30
$0.37
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
11 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$11.10
$5.45
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
43 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.58
$-0.43
- NO
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.83
$6.41
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
15 shares @ 74.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.81
$-3.09
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
41 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.76
$0.26
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
33 shares @ 25.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.32
$-1.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$6.16May 18, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$3.08May 18, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$5.94May 18, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$2.73May 18, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$5.94May 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$2.79May 18, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$2.38May 18, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.29May 18, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?$0.52May 18, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMGeneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante$15.36May 18, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 18?$0.15May 18, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 18?$1.00May 18, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.38May 18, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$0.91May 18, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante$2.87May 18, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante$2.97May 18, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?$1.26May 18, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$1.36May 18, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$6.17May 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.06May 18, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".