Harmful-Wrench
0x709a4b4932cffc2d137fdb31c75d9a95842b7e39
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$137.7K
Total PnL
$-19.2K
Realised
$161.13
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
22300 shares @ 90.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.6K
$545.72
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
18545 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.3K
$236.35
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
16425 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.2K
$316.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
11000 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.8K
$143.00
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
11000 shares @ 92.9¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.3K
$50.72
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
5500 shares @ 94.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.4K
$178.75
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
5500 shares @ 92.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.2K
$104.50
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
5500 shares @ 91.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.1K
$79.75
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
5710 shares @ 88.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.1K
$-3.21
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
6477 shares @ 78.9¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.9K
$-219.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.0KMay 18, 03:52 UTC
- YIELD$4.20May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$0.55May 17, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$102.29May 17, 01:09 UTC
- YIELD$4.20May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$3.71May 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$50.00May 16, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran nuclear test before 2027?$20.68May 16, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.5KMay 16, 10:28 UTC
- YIELD$4.20May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran nuclear test before 2027?$9.00May 15, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran nuclear test before 2027?$36.00May 15, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$2.1KMay 15, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$47.53May 15, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$2.47May 15, 06:21 UTC
- YIELD$4.20May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.1KMay 14, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$6.5KMay 14, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$464.96May 14, 09:29 UTC
- YIELD$4.20May 14, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $499.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".