Appropriate-Cathedral
0x70ad3c12fa92a97e1c387ab594e645d940a3f1df
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$40.63
Realised
$-3.60
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$666.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3500 shares @ 14.2¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$638.73
$142.09
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8000 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$412.00
$-13.44
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$275.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 9.2¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$250.50
$-24.50
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$247.50
$39.00
- YES
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
2587 shares @ 9.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$245.74
$-7.06
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$181.00
$8.41
- YES
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
400 shares @ 46.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$160.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$112.50
$-16.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$68.66May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$9.20May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$8.52May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$28.16May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$23.00May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$23.00May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$13.80May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$9.66May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$9.00May 18, 05:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.35May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$43.81May 18, 00:06 UTC
- REWARD$8.96May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$164.02May 17, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$3.00May 17, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$32.98May 17, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $31.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".