Competent-Transaction
0x70c14608f9c06ad9a5f48f1d6ddb6c0fc2d41be2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$416.3K
Total PnL
$7.0K
Realised
$8.1K
Win rate
80%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
180000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$136.2K
$46.2K
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
51596 shares @ 83.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$48.8K
$5.8K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
180000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$43.8K
$-46.2K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
26432 shares @ 92.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.8K
$1.4K
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
29777 shares @ 83.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.8K
$858.59
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
14148 shares @ 95.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.1K
$553.16
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
14169 shares @ 93.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.0K
$717.42
- NO
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
14000 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.4K
$350.01
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
12377 shares @ 88.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.0K
$984.08
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
10923 shares @ 81.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.9K
$959.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$19.82May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$3.3KMay 17, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$14.3KMay 17, 10:14 UTC
- YIELD$19.82May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$19.82May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$19.83May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$19.83May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$2.1KMay 13, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$222.50May 13, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$174.57May 13, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$42.51May 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$118.75May 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$27.67May 13, 03:58 UTC
- YIELD$20.46May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$206.85May 13, 00:07 UTC
- REWARD$1.59May 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.40May 12, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.40May 12, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$186.00May 12, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.63May 12, 22:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $533.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 18:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".