Fair-Guava
0x70e26237d6fef16527a1eee7399de142fe0d5c64
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$903.84
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
29947 shares @ 4.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$404.28
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
7219 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$324.87
$-326.11
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
1538 shares @ 13.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$73.08
$-126.92
- YES
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
1077 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.55
$0.56
- YES
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
417 shares @ 6.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.42
$10.42
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
1818 shares @ 11.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.64
$-176.36
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
20697 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-299.98
- YES
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
2244 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
1627 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?
1476 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$25.00May 10, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$300.00May 1, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$100.00Apr 24, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$141.00Apr 24, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$400.00Apr 22, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$0.00Apr 22, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$200.00Apr 22, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$0.00Apr 22, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$809.03Apr 21, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$400.00Apr 20, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$150.00Apr 20, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$200.00Apr 19, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$777.78Apr 19, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$150.00Apr 19, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$200.00Apr 19, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$200.00Apr 17, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?$150.00Apr 11, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$100.00Apr 11, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $352.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 21:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 21:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".