Likely-Spyglass
0x715e95aff2a6d8a0cbd8b0558f389febe85dee36
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$97.10
Total PnL
$3.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on May 20?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 20, 2026$19.86
$6.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 52°F or higher on May 21?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 21, 2026$19.73
$5.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 20?
28 shares @ 12.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$6.74
$3.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 20?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$6.58
$1.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$5.05
$2.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 89°F or below on May 19?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.00
$2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C or higher on May 20?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$5.00
$2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 20?
26 shares @ 11.0¢·now 14.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.94
$1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 21?
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.92
$0.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 21?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.60
$0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 20?$1.38May 20, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 21?$2.92May 20, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 20?$6.50May 20, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 20?$0.75May 20, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$1.82May 20, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$1.25May 20, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 20?$2.50May 20, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 20?$1.36May 20, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 20?$2.06May 20, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 20?$1.09May 20, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 20?$0.22May 20, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 20?$0.25May 20, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 20?$5.04May 20, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?$0.13May 20, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 20?$1.77May 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 20?$0.70May 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 20?$1.12May 20, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 20?$1.90May 20, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 20?$2.90May 20, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 20?$4.79May 19, 22:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 03:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".