Messy-Butler
0x71667dba38332aa4606dd92f17658e3edb5680e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$226.37
Total PnL
$-52.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?
53 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$48.95
$-1.05
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 88.6¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.95
$-0.05
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
60 shares @ 83.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$29.22
$-20.78
- YES
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$21.90
$1.90
- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
20 shares @ 95.5¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.57
$0.47
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
23 shares @ 85.6¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$19.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$16.11
$-3.89
- NO
Human moon landing in 2026?
11 shares @ 94.2¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.54
$-4.46
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$20.12May 23, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$20.10May 23, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$5.00May 23, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$5.00May 23, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$20.21May 23, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$50.12May 23, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$50.00May 23, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$24.21May 23, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?$10.99May 23, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$11.49May 23, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$11.76May 23, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$11.90May 23, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$13.70May 23, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$20.79May 23, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?$20.83May 23, 22:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $23.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 21:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".