Tart-Gelding
0x7170c454de42dd72d11983cbdec49ac01de80534
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-19.0K
Realised
$-2.0K
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
15000 shares @ 12.7¢·now 4.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$727.50
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$605.00
$-154.99
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$562.50
$-12.50
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
1945 shares @ 22.8¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$457.09
$14.18
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$452.50
$22.50
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$350.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
2508 shares @ 14.1¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$338.52
$-14.07
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
12230 shares @ 13.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$189.56
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$102.50
$-2.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.66
$-0.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.12May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$5.64May 17, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$14.10May 17, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$42.31May 17, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$4.40May 17, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$21.35May 17, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$108.08May 17, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$118.37May 17, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61.79May 17, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$8.94May 17, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$0.22May 17, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$0.95May 17, 06:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$79.79May 16, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$5.52May 16, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$1.49May 16, 05:42 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.48May 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$5.13May 15, 22:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $266.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 11:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".