Knotty-Mud
0x71dd2d539a793687451d4af8c43169369b47d61c
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$92.02
Realised
$9.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
2300 shares @ 80.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$126.48
- YES
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
160 shares @ 84.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$141.68
$6.76
- NO
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
185 shares @ 55.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.10
$-16.65
- YES
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
149 shares @ 50.2¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.80
$-27.20
- YES
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
455 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.73
$-5.27
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
90 shares @ 6.7¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.34
$-1.66
- YES
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
315 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$369.05May 16, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$102.40May 15, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$51.16May 15, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$29.46May 15, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$2.88May 15, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$33.03May 15, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$18.1KMay 14, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chuck Schumer vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$120.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?$133.36May 14, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$511.15May 14, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$994.18May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$140.80May 13, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$343.04May 12, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$1.5KMay 12, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$0.00May 10, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in April?$0.00May 10, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 10, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in April?$5.23May 8, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$20.37May 8, 11:46 UTC
- REWARD$2.57May 3, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".