Offbeat-Raise
0x71e5ffadf2b25997d05874d954a2b74485c2d10b
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-39.5K
Realised
$542.44
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
37000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.6K
$-370.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
52548 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-52.55
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
52133 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-6.6K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
20000 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26?
17273 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
17210 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-17.21
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
12000 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out first?
11547 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-213.86
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
10600 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.8K
- NO
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?
10422 shares @ 43.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$3.0KMay 2, 09:46 UTC
- REWARD$4.69Apr 22, 03:35 UTC
- REWARD$0.39Apr 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.3KApr 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.2KApr 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$40.85Apr 21, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$51.62Apr 21, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.49Apr 21, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$51.06Apr 21, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.63Apr 21, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.2KApr 21, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$0.00Apr 1, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$236.58Feb 7, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$140.28Feb 7, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$5.75Feb 7, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$28.50Feb 7, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$28.50Feb 7, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$83.80Feb 7, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$17.10Feb 7, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$28.50Feb 7, 09:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $345.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 00:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 09:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".