Graceful-Coconut
0x720338f4f0166be8abdf9ccce4b0778923d92401
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$401.33
Total PnL
$-90.07
Realised
$5.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
271 shares @ 82.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$233.12
$10.84
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 88.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.06
$-1.78
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 74.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$28.55
$3.55
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?
1074 shares @ 4.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.85
$-23.15
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
38 shares @ 66.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.99
$-7.01
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
59 shares @ 25.4¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.04
$1.04
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.77
$-0.23
- NO
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$9.56
$0.05
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
14 shares @ 67.7¢·now 43.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.12
$-3.47
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$7.63May 17, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$35.01May 17, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$25.34May 17, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$1.60May 17, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$17.34May 17, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$28.64May 17, 08:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$11.11May 16, 07:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?$1.67May 15, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$1.55May 15, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 15, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$10.00May 15, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$21.55May 15, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$28.65May 14, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$15.45May 14, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.46May 14, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.41May 14, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$20.10May 13, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".