Tragic-Member
0x738a4849db23670996f14dff96a2bc6a8f885996
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$181.68
Total PnL
$-58.41
Realised
$5.55
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
696 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$45.26
$3.48
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
94 shares @ 22.3¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.74
$-1.24
- NO
James Comey in jail by June 30?
20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.22
$2.62
- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
20 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.40
$-0.40
- NO
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
16 shares @ 79.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.64
$0.00
- YES
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
12 shares @ 59.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$9.76
$2.74
- NO
Will Little Joe escape again?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.62
$0.61
- NO
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.61
$1.41
- NO
SPLC found guilty in 2026?
23 shares @ 57.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.09
$-4.02
- YES
Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?
160 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLabour leadership election scheduled by May 31?$9.60May 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$2.49May 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$6.74May 18, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMPGA Championship: Hole in One?$0.70May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$51.88May 18, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$27.79May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$53.91May 17, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$21.01May 17, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$15.12May 17, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$9.10May 17, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$16.19May 17, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.12May 17, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.21May 17, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.01May 17, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$7.60May 17, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.11May 17, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.11May 17, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.43May 17, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.10May 17, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.10May 17, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".