Polished-Hexagon
0x747837d9e1763345ab994e8652c8d0ba59bb4003
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$37.5K
Total PnL
$-5.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
39664 shares @ 79.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$27.2K
$-4.4K
- NO
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
2792 shares @ 79.6¢·now 94.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$406.97
- YES
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1814 shares @ 78.7¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.4K
$-39.61
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
1382 shares @ 78.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.2K
$64.79
- NO
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
1201 shares @ 88.8¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$25.79
- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
630 shares @ 76.2¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$444.11
$-35.78
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
371 shares @ 80.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$347.12
$49.62
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
777 shares @ 49.6¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$345.90
$-39.61
- YES
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
461 shares @ 82.5¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$338.94
$-41.30
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
300 shares @ 74.9¢·now 97.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$291.91
$67.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$100.44May 12, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$20.00May 12, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$23.53May 12, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$46.51May 12, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?$50.00May 12, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$125.00May 12, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$168.50May 12, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?$1.3KMay 12, 21:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $100.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".