0x74f07e36b24de40758c8de14557bf2d87f6cec6e
0x74f07e36b24de40758c8de14557bf2d87f6cec6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$10.12
Total PnL
$-8.71
Realised
$5.78
Win rate
62%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$3.55
$1.78
- YES
Will Baidu have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
1529 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.06
$-1.53
- YES
Will Brad T. Peters win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
1392 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.70
$-0.70
- YES
Will Caleb Kintz win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
679 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.68
$0.00
- YES
Will Patrick Kopke-Hales win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
1237 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.62
$-0.62
- YES
Will David Medina win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
1132 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.57
$-0.57
- YES
Will Chael Sonnen win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
174 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.26
$-0.26
- YES
Will Danielle Bethell win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
363 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.18
$-3.45
- YES
Will James Clark be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?
6 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.14
$-0.10
- YES
Will Jack Ellison be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
3 shares @ 5.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.08
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$0.40May 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Medina win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$0.28May 10, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jacy Todd win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$0.69May 10, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$0.68May 6, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Patrick Kopke-Hales win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$0.41May 4, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$36.28May 3, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.60May 3, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$1.50May 3, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$1.00May 3, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?$5.52May 1, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Clark be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?$0.24May 1, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.92Apr 30, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sal Holguin win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$0.56Apr 30, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sal Holguin win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$1.44Apr 30, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$0.07Apr 30, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$25.00Apr 30, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$9.24Apr 29, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.01Apr 29, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Ellison be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$0.19Apr 29, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jenny Costa Honeycutt be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$0.26Apr 29, 03:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".