Worse-Scenario
0x75d1b199a96801338e67a6efaa35c0028ea87a5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$130.7K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
48%
157 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
17229 shares @ 49.4¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.4K
$4.8K
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
13589 shares @ 72.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.7K
$2.8K
- YES
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
14914 shares @ 36.1¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.5K
$2.1K
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
10156 shares @ 79.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.2K
$-3.8K
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
9493 shares @ 35.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.7K
$427.17
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
4018 shares @ 73.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.7K
$771.19
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
3592 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.6K
$824.25
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
3864 shares @ 53.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
16415 shares @ 15.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.9K
$367.94
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
2847 shares @ 57.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$819.83
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Team Heretics qualify for EWC 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karmine Corp qualify for EWC 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mason Greenwood be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$340.85May 18, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?$96.00May 18, 03:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valencia be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$2.94May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?$0.00May 17, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?$0.00May 17, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?$0.00May 17, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%?$0.00May 17, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mateusz Gamrot fight Paddy Pimblett next?$0.00May 17, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?$10.74May 17, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?$32.00May 17, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?$92.96May 17, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?$0.00May 17, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ilia Topuria fight Max Holloway next?$0.00May 17, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dan Hooker fight Max Holloway next?$0.00May 17, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maurício Ruffy fight Max Holloway next?$0.00May 17, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?$0.00May 17, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paddy Pimblett fight Max Holloway next?$3.00May 17, 07:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 157 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".