Honest-Basil
0x765c3441b5161683541bbbf7c0bc7d71b3d9dbb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$123.78
Total PnL
$14.13
Realised
$76.25
Win rate
100%
84 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
233 shares @ 0.3¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$11.08
$10.37
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.00% and 3.49%?
167 shares @ 0.7¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$9.53
$8.41
- YES
Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$9.45
$8.25
- YES
Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
188 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.85
$2.91
- YES
Will Anthony Zimpfer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
250 shares @ 0.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.12
$2.28
- YES
Will Steve Erceg be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
161 shares @ 0.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.66
$2.33
- YES
Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
210 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.20
$1.28
- YES
Will Microsoft have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
277 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.94
$1.11
- YES
Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day?
175 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.75
$1.05
- YES
Will Song Gi-heon win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
1142 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.71
$-0.57
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?$0.10May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?$0.21May 18, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?$0.08May 18, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?$0.10May 18, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?$0.13May 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?$0.13May 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?$0.13May 18, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?$0.13May 18, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.15May 18, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $140 in May?$0.72May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$1.19May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLJames Norton announced as next James Bond?$0.14May 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?$8.17May 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$0.08May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$0.02May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$0.19May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$0.12May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLMagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch?$2.04May 18, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$0.70May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.19May 18, 07:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 84 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".