Imperturbable-Heifer
0x7786a97f1a5f7c862f0dd941c7da638f86747914
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$713.64
Total PnL
$-771.91
Realised
$-311.50
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?
670 shares @ 89.9¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$635.16
$32.83
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
247 shares @ 33.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$77.81
$-3.71
- YES
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.68
$-2.13
- YES
Will Starmer say "Wireless" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
528 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-84.48
- NO
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
223 shares @ 83.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-185.98
- NO
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $700M at market close on IPO day?
181 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-148.42
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
103 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.62
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 5AM ET
84 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
30 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.83
- YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.80 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?
5 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$25.80Apr 27, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$432.00Apr 27, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$360.00Apr 27, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?$602.33Apr 23, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$31.36Apr 13, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$14.40Apr 13, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?$182.32Apr 11, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?$458.38Apr 11, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?$596.00Apr 11, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$50.05Apr 11, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$157.95Apr 11, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$9.00Apr 11, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$37.50Apr 11, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Wireless" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$84.48Apr 11, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?$30.00Apr 10, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$750.00Apr 10, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$83.99Apr 9, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$71.41Apr 9, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$273.00Mar 30, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?$273.07Mar 25, 16:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $204.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 03:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".