Calm-Dusk
0x77c344e1715c35d1424881c14e5a9f6911dd00c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$99.2K
Total PnL
$2.6K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Netanyahu out by May 31?
24951 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.8K
$279.48
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
20928 shares @ 83.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.9K
$1.5K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
12484 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.2K
$80.99
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
10302 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.1K
$294.70
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
9057 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.9K
$209.65
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
5369 shares @ 92.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.3K
$336.31
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
5832 shares @ 89.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.3K
$78.64
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
4096 shares @ 90.3¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.9K
$193.09
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
4002 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$0.02
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
1677 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$21.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$1.43May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?$0.98May 18, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?$0.98May 18, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?$0.98May 18, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$20.02May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?$21.06May 17, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?$26.03May 17, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$135.30May 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$3.4KMay 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$73.33May 17, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$1.00May 17, 03:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$15.25May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$40.78May 16, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?$9.57May 16, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?$46.75May 16, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?$63.00May 16, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$2.63May 16, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$16.80May 16, 14:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $457.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 22:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".