Unnatural-Bungalow
0x781caf04d98a281712caf1677877c442789fdb68
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$-234.7K
Realised
$96.2K
Win rate
86%
97 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
9730 shares @ 32.4¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$6.1K
$2.9K
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3000 shares @ 5.3¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$145.50
$-13.50
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
111399 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.4K
- YES
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
69082 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-950.15
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
65192 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- NO
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
45260 shares @ 67.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.6K
- YES
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
41255 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
35879 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.8K
- NO
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
35796 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.5K
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
35080 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$100.00May 16, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$140.00May 16, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$255.36May 16, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.1KMay 16, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.3KMay 16, 04:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 4, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 97 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".