Humble-Poverty
0x78a40ed1cbc817128bbd0b3814d41fd286f1f8f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$9.18
Total PnL
$-0.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?
1 shares @ 92.6¢·now 92.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer" or "Buy a Dell Computer" in May?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Trump say "Christmas" in May?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
- NO
Will Trump say "Cat" in May?
1 shares @ 66.9¢·now 38.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$3.01May 18, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00May 18, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?$1.06May 18, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?$1.00May 18, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$1.00May 18, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cat" in May?$1.01May 18, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Christmas" in May?$1.01May 18, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Buy Dell Computer" or "Buy a Dell Computer" in May?$1.01May 18, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 13:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".